Houston (Platts)–29 Mar 2018 157 pm EDT/1757 GMT

 

Weekly US coal production totaled an estimated 15.46 million st in the week that ended March 24, up 1.6% from the prior week and up 7.2% from the year-ago week, US Energy Information Administration data showed Thursday.

The Appalachian and Powder River basins saw slight increases in production, although these rises were somewhat offset by decreases in other basins. It was the third highest production estimate so far in 2018.

S&P Global Platts Analytics estimates utility stockpiles in the week that ended March 22 totaled 111.27 million st, up 0.8% from the week prior but down 32.5% compared with the same point in 2017.

Based on EIA estimates through the first 12 weeks of the year, annualized US coal production in 2018 would total 770.7 million st, flat compared with last year.

In the most recently concluded reporting week, coal production in Wyoming and Montana, which primarily consists of coal from the Powder River Basin, totaled an estimated 7.1 million st, up 3.4% compared with last week and 8.9% compared with the year-ago week.

On an annualized basis, coal production in Wyoming and Montana would total 346.1 million st, down 2.1% from last year.

In Central Appalachia, weekly coal production totaled an estimated 1.9 million st, down 1.6% from last week, but up 14.8% from last year. Annualized 2018 production would total 96.9 million st, up 8.1% from last year.

In Northern Appalachia, weekly coal production totaled an estimated 2.1 million st, up 1.1% from last week and 4.5% from the year-ago week. Annualized production would total 104.7 million st, up 0.4% from last year.

In the Illinois Basin, weekly coal production totaled an estimated 2.1 million st, down 0.7% from last week but up 2.8% from last year. Annualized production would total 105.2 million st, up 1.7% from 2018.

–Veda Chowdhury, veda.chowdhury@spglobal.com

–Edited by Keiron Greenhalgh, keiron.greenhalgh@spglobal.com

The rise in global petcoke prices does not seem to be slowing down, with a CFR East Coast India deal heard this week for April loading at $119/mt.

While sources continue to say supply remains tight, many are hard pressed to believe deals are getting done at these levels.

“Supply is still tight, and I still don’t think there is much available, but what is going on?” said a European trader.

A West India-based trader said prices are seeing support owing to limited availability while a number of US refineries are carrying out maintenance.

There is hardly any Indian interest now given the high prices, added the Indian trader.

He said the indicative bid for US petcoke is around $110-$115/mt on a CFR basis while the offer was at $120/mt CFR India. The Indian trader said the market is sluggish due to the strength of prices, even though it is peak buying season for India and there is hardly any imported petcoke ground stock left.

Even domestic petcoke producers are not actively making any offers as they are busy closing their books for the financial year, the source said.

The trader said tight supply as well as demand from other regions, such as Turkey and Latin America, are keeping prices afloat.

A South India-based trader said he heard an offer for US petcoke as high as $130/mt CFR India.

“I don’t think anyone will be willing to buy at these levels,” he said, adding that there are hardly any offers for petcoke and with coal getting cheaper, Indian demand would continue to wane.

In addition, higher freight rates have been adding to the pressure on the landed cost.

According to the West Indian trader, a correction in prices is inevitable by April because nobody in India will be buying petcoke at the existing levels.

Meanwhile, softness in coal prices will also weigh on petcoke, said the West Indian trader.

S&P Global Platts on Wednesday assessed 5,500 kcal/kg NAR coal delivered into West India at $87.80/mt CFR, down 9% from its year-to-date high of $96.15/mt on February 23 but up 21.6% from the year-ago level of $72.95/mt.

In Turkey, petcoke demand continues to be weak as buyers wait for prices to follow coal lower.

On a calorific value-adjusted basis, petcoke has become more expensive to burn than coal as the two fuels have been trending in opposite directions, sources said.

Houston (Platts)–21 Mar 2018 939 pm EDT/139 GMT

–Andrew Moore, Jeff McDonald, Arusha Das
–Edited by Keiron Greenhalgh